{"id":352339,"date":"2025-01-06T08:00:54","date_gmt":"2025-01-06T13:00:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/chiefexecutive.net\/?p=352339"},"modified":"2025-03-28T14:03:27","modified_gmt":"2025-03-28T18:03:27","slug":"ceos-split-on-inflation-interest-rates-and-trump-musk-in-2025-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/chiefexecutive.net\/ceos-split-on-inflation-interest-rates-and-trump-musk-in-2025-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"CEOs Split On Inflation, Interest Rates And Trump-Musk In 2025 Forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"352339\" class=\"elementor elementor-352339\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-926ce40 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"926ce40\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f8c7f3c elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"f8c7f3c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Making predictions about the future of the world is no easy task\u2014especially in times of rapid change, global upheaval, and technological innovation. Yet, we can\u2019t resist the temptation to try! After all, understanding what America\u2019s CEOs anticipate is often more useful for strategic planning than what whatever actually ends up happening. Plus, it\u2019s a lot more fun.<\/p><p>With that in mind, we once again tapped into the collective wisdom of the U.S. CEO community for their thoughts about the year ahead. As 2024 came to a close, we reviewed how CEOs\u2019 predictions for the year measured up (see the results <a href=\"https:\/\/chiefexecutive.net\/2024-how-ceo-predictions-stacked-up\/\">here<\/a>) and asked for their perspectives on what 2025 might bring. Here\u2019s what they shared:<\/p><h4><strong>The Stock Market<\/strong><\/h4><p>With the rallies in the market in December, the answer choices were slightly adjusted to accommodate a new high for the Dow Jones Industrial Average of 45,000\u2014which 69 percent of CEOs expect will be surpassed by December 2025, up from its current level of around 43,000. Only 31 percent of CEOs expect the Dow to close under 45,000 at the end of the new year. These predictions are about the same level of optimism as last year, when 72 percent of CEOs predicted the Dow would end 2024 above 35,000, while the average was hovering somewhere around 37,000. \u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-801dfe4 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"801dfe4\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8e3196a elementor-widget elementor-widget-html\" data-id=\"8e3196a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"html.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<script id=\"infogram_0__\/zsSMsyhwjzRmKJIgtNvm\" title=\"2025 predictions comparison: Dow\" src=\"https:\/\/e.infogram.com\/js\/dist\/embed.js?ECt\" type=\"text\/javascript\"><\/script>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ad6af07 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"ad6af07\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f5f3ea8 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"f5f3ea8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Perhaps the S&amp;P 500 predictions will shed new thoughts about the economy. As it turns out, CEOs are even more optimistic about the S&amp;P, with 88 percent expecting a close above its current level of around 6,000. Still, it\u2019s not unanimous, with 12 percent of CEOs expecting a drop.<\/p><p>\u201cWe will be in bubble territory soon if not already,\u201d says Stephan Moyon, of VELUX North America, a mid-large sized window manufacturer.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c2d61f3 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"c2d61f3\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fb90092 elementor-widget elementor-widget-html\" data-id=\"fb90092\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"html.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<script id=\"infogram_0__\/S87sSiIOkseKxMXbKMRL\" title=\"2025 predictions comparison: S&amp;amp;amp;P 500\" src=\"https:\/\/e.infogram.com\/js\/dist\/embed.js?G5W\" type=\"text\/javascript\"><\/script>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9e01957 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"9e01957\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b578d9e elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"b578d9e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong><\/h4><p>After many years of trying to ignore Bitcoin, it seems that the big banks and government have noticed, and they want in. In December 2024 Bitcoin finally surpassed the magic $100,000 level just as CEOs were asked to predict where it will go from here. More than a third of CEOs expect it to hover around current levels and end 2025 between $90,000 and $110,000, 37 percent predict the value will move above current levels, and 30 percent expect a drop.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4fc7f08 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"4fc7f08\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-eef7ce3 elementor-widget elementor-widget-html\" data-id=\"eef7ce3\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"html.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<script id=\"infogram_0__\/xZAqWTgmCJ6psOy0gtST\" title=\"2025 predictions comparison: bitcoin\" src=\"https:\/\/e.infogram.com\/js\/dist\/embed.js?YTu\" type=\"text\/javascript\"><\/script>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c746d75 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"c746d75\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d7f4552 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"d7f4552\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u201cSeems like it&#8217;s now acting as an inflation hedge, like gold,\u201d says Ramy Mahmoud, CEO of Optinose, a specialty pharmaceutical company.<\/p><h4><strong>Inflation <\/strong><\/h4><p>If you thought concern about inflation should remain an artifact of 2023\u2014think again! Our polling shows 27 percent of CEOs now expect inflation to swell above 3 percent by year-end 2025, up from its current level of 2.7 percent. \u201cTariffs will play a role in this,\u201d says Crystal Morris, CEO of Gator Cases, echoing the comments of many CEOs.<\/p><p>What\u2019s reassuring is that the remaining 73 percent of those surveyed say they expect it to stay about where it is or fall in the year ahead.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a0be520 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"a0be520\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-004db7a elementor-widget elementor-widget-html\" data-id=\"004db7a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"html.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<script id=\"infogram_0__\/h0zAo4SbTtEwPtjcQVAI\" title=\"2025 predictions: inflation pie chart\" src=\"https:\/\/e.infogram.com\/js\/dist\/embed.js?onX\" type=\"text\/javascript\"><\/script>\r\n\r\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4478ec5 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"4478ec5\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-68a6328 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"68a6328\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><strong>Interest Rates<\/strong><\/h4><p>After three rate cuts in 2024 and a seemingly successful bid to squash inflation, we asked CEOs what they foresee from the Fed in 2025. CEOs answered with 43 percent forecasting interest rates between 4 and 5 percent (the current levels are hovering between 4.25 and 4.5 percent). Thirty-five percent expect the rate to drop to between 3 and 4 percent, while 16 percent forecast rate hikes to above 5 percent.\u00a0<\/p><p>\u201cIt\u2019s dependent on inflation,\u201d says Terrence Cummings, CEO of PWR Storage Solutions.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-66322ea e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"66322ea\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ccb17be elementor-widget elementor-widget-html\" data-id=\"ccb17be\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"html.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<script id=\"infogram_0__\/k6QX65b3TfUyNcYVMRP5\" title=\"2025 CEO predictions fed funds rate\" src=\"https:\/\/e.infogram.com\/js\/dist\/embed.js?n5Y\" type=\"text\/javascript\"><\/script>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4ee6659 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"4ee6659\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-11cc742 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"11cc742\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><strong>Russia-Ukraine War<\/strong><\/h4><p>In the third year of asking this question the war in Ukraine sadly continues. This year, 65 percent of CEOs predict a brokered halt to the war by year-end vs. only 17 percent who forecasted the same in 2023. A quarter of CEOs forecast a continued slog. Hopefully this will be the last time we ask this question.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8d40f8e e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"8d40f8e\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-85bae46 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"85bae46\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d6de5f1 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"d6de5f1\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u201cUnfortunately, as a born Ukrainian, I can tell that we will have a brokered halt,\u201d says Vladyslav Podoliako, founder &amp; CEO at Belkins, a lead generation agency. \u201cWhile in my heart, I am praying for victory for Ukraine, the harsh reality wants to say something different. There is a high chance of ending this war for the first H1 and a slight change in continuation for the H2.\u201d<strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p><h4><strong>Trump And Musk <\/strong><\/h4><p>An unlikely duo emerged in the fall of 2024 as Donald Trump secured the presidential election with Elon Musk by his side. Why not ask a group of CEOs from across the country whether a high-powered CEO will still be tethered to the nation\u2019s president, known for his high administration turnover, after a year?\u00a0<\/p><p>Well, the CEOs are split almost exactly down the middle. A slight majority (54 percent) predict the dynamics of this duo will remain strong by December 2025, while 46 percent expect Musk to get the boot or leave of his own volition by then.<\/p><p><strong>\u201c<\/strong>Two big personalities will clash,\u201d predicts Steve C. Jones, CEO and president of Murphy Bank. \u201cElon needs to stay in his lane.\u201d<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fc81f48 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"fc81f48\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-bb40a25 elementor-widget elementor-widget-html\" data-id=\"bb40a25\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"html.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<script id=\"infogram_0__\/zSiZzl2e9saNO7a21qtD\" title=\"CEOs Predictions For 2025: Musk and Trump\" src=\"https:\/\/e.infogram.com\/js\/dist\/embed.js?W8J\" type=\"text\/javascript\"><\/script>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-cf6ec42 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"cf6ec42\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ed8bbc8 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"ed8bbc8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h5 class=\"paragraph\" style=\"margin: 0in; vertical-align: baseline;\"><span class=\"normaltextrun\"><b><span style=\"font-size: 14.0pt; font-family: 'Calibri',sans-serif; color: #44546a;\">About the CEO Confidence Index<\/span><\/b><\/span><span class=\"normaltextrun\"><span style=\"font-size: 14.0pt; font-family: 'Calibri',sans-serif; color: #44546a;\">\u202f<\/span><\/span><span class=\"eop\"><span style=\"font-size: 14.0pt; font-family: 'Calibri',sans-serif; color: #44546a;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/h5><p class=\"paragraph\" style=\"margin: 0in; vertical-align: baseline;\"><span class=\"normaltextrun\"><span style=\"font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Calibri',sans-serif;\">The CEO Confidence Index is America\u2019s largest monthly survey of chief executives. Each month,\u202f<i>Chief Executive<\/i>\u202fsurveys CEOs across America, at organizations of all types and sizes, to compile our CEO Confidence Index data. The Index tracks confidence in current and future business environments, based on CEOs\u2019 observations of various economic and business components. For additional information about the Index and prior months data, visit <\/span><\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/chiefexecutive.net\/category\/ceo-confidence-index\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"normaltextrun\"><span style=\"font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Calibri',sans-serif; color: #0563c1;\">ChiefExecutive.net\/category\/CEO-Confidence-Index\/<\/span><\/span><\/a><span class=\"eop\"><span style=\"font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Calibri',sans-serif; color: #0563c1;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dow 50,000? Inflation above 3 percent? A political pairing for the ages? We asked America\u2019s CEOs to predict the coming year. Here\u2019s what they foresee.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9957,"featured_media":352351,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_theme","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_oasis_is_in_workflow":0,"_oasis_original":0,"_relevanssi_hide_post":"","_relevanssi_hide_content":"","_relevanssi_pin_for_all":"","_relevanssi_pin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_unpin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_include_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_exclude_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_no_append":"","_relevanssi_related_not_related":"","_relevanssi_related_posts":"","_relevanssi_noindex_reason":"","footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[41,891,879],"tags":[42909],"class_list":["post-352339","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ceo-confidence-index","category-politicspolicy","category-strategy-2","tag-research"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>CEOs Split On Inflation, Interest Rates And Trump-Musk In 2025 Forecast<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Dow 50,000? 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